( ESNUG 562 Item 2 ) -------------------------------------------- [07/22/16]

Subject: 68% of chip designers see SoftBank/ARM buyout as a long term BAD

MOST CHIP DESIGNERS NOT HAPPY: I want to thank the 186 chip designers and
chip verifiers who answered this quickie survey on the SoftBank/ARM buyout.

Here's the results:

    SURVEY QUESTION

       The Wall Street Journal just confirmed that Japan's SoftBank is
       acquiring ARM Holdings for ~32 billion U.S. dollars in cash.
       AS A CHIP DESIGNER or CHIP VERIFIER, how do you think this will
       impact your company's chip designs?

       SHORT TERM (Choose one) is this GOOD, or BAD, or NEUTRAL news?

           GOOD: #### 8%
            BAD: ######## 16%
        NEUTRAL: ##################################### 74%

       LONG TERM (Choose one) is this GOOD, or BAD, or NEUTRAL news?

           GOOD: ###### 12%
            BAD: ################################## 68%
        NEUTRAL: ########## 19%

It comes as no surprise that 74% see SoftBank/ARM as NEUTRAL short term.
What was interesting here were the 68% who see it BAD long term.  Their
reasons from their comments broke out to:

                      bad for Britain: ####### 7%
               IoT is a coming bubble: ############ 12%
     Japan engineers too conservative: ############# 13%
       will cause ARM price increases: ################### 19%
      kills ARM innovation/eco-system: ############## 14%
  looking into RICS-V/MIPS/DW ARC now: #################### 20%

While 8 Brits answered this survey, 7 commented.  Not one was an ARMH
employee.  And since it's a UK company we're discussing, I'll let their
voices be the first heard in the comments section.

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BRITISH REACTIONS

    SHORT TERM: Neutral

    LONG TERM: Bad

    Timed to take advantage of our Brexit vote weakening the pound.
    I don't believe empty promises of doubling UK employees while
    simulataneously saying SoftBank won't change ARMH.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: Neutral

    LONG TERM: Bad

    This is the Tory Party selling our children's future to foreigners
    for a 43% premium on their shares.  Years from now those double
    the UK hires will be shown to be false.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    NEUTRAL

    Change takes time.  It won't happen overnight.

    BAD

    The Tories are idiots.  This is carting off British world technology
    leadership for a few pounds.  Double UK headcount my ass.  Cameron
    shouldn't have called the Brexit vote when he did.  What's next?
    Selling Gibraltar to the Spanish?
    
        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Long term BAD for the UK.

    The $32 B acquisition price itself is a bribe under British fair
    trade practice for not opening up to all reasonable offers.
    By fair trade, I mean the rules that the Industrial League of
    Trade Associations established long ago.  And this comes exactly
    at that point of transition in British government aiding to
    conceal the theft of ARM -- with no one looking at an offer too
    good to be true.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Short term NEUTRAL 
    Long term GOOD

    Short term nothing will change.  APM in August in Cambridge as usual.

    Longer term the investment will strengthen ARM.  I hear a doubling of
    staff within 5 years.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM: BAD

    It took 25 years for the UK to lead the world in CPU design.  It took
    5 weeks of Boris's battle buses to hand it over to the Japanese.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM: BAD

    I don't see how this can be good.  The next logical step is the cost
    of ARM licenses going up and R&D spending going down despite the soon
    to be empty assurances from Mr. Son about increasing headcount
    significantly (pandering to the British Government so they wouldn't
    block the sale.)

    Nikesh Arora was hired at enormous cost to run Softbank, and in June
    he quit.  I'm pretty sure that spending $32 billion for ARM might have
    had something to do with it along with the extremely high debt load
    that Softbank is carrying.

    Look at the money that Softbank sunk into Sprint.  Sprint is in the
    dumps.  Shares of AT&T and Verizon have been among the best performing
    large cap stocks amid growing investor demand for high-dividend-paying
    stocks as global interest rates fall.

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    BAD & BAD

    ARM is practically a technology unto itself.  It is not a good idea
    to sell ARM technology to any company external to the the West in
    general.

    I'm surprised that with so many UK ITAR government import and export
    regulations and all one has to do is buy the company to bypass them.

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IOT AND SELF-DRIVING CARS

    Neutral and Bad

    This is a $32 billion wager that the upcoming IoT bubble won't
    mirror the Internet bubble of the late 2000's.

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    Short: Neutral

    Long: Bad

    Every Silicon Valley tech con keynote today says IoT and self-driving
    cars are the wave of the future.  All those smart people couldn't be
    wrong could they?

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    Short term:

    Bad, one reason for the deal is accelerating IoT design cycles.

    How can one secure a return on IoT investment tomorrow for a new
    design spin that is already  obsolete today?  Acceleration of
    design cycles leaves only the largest design producers to reap
    the rewards of their accelerations.

    Long term:

    BAD, ARM's success is established on the mass of the development
    consortium they steward.  This will fall apart once the Japanese
    press them to cut costs and bring in more revenues.

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    SHORT TERM: Neutral.

    LONG TERM: Bad.

    SoftBank is not involved in automotive applications.  While ARM has
    potential growth automotive.  With their rapid investment in car
    parking assistance and car auto-pilot, ARM is getting involved more
    and more.  This might die as under SoftBank's instance for more
    present day revenues instead of future experimental projects.

    Moreover, Apple is SoftBank's main customer, more or less, while
    ARM is neutral with all the smartphone providers.  That might change
    under SoftBank's guidance.  That scares me as well, actually a lot!

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM: GOOD

    Softbank has more financial depth to invest in ARM and in the areas
    of Internet of Things and autonomous automobile plus others.

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    SHORT TERM - NEUTRAL

    Shouldn't be much impact in the next 3-6 months for funded programs.

    LONG TERM - BAD

    If the focus and growth is IoT, then all the non-IoT programs are
    going to be in question and some will probably get chopped.  Any new
    non-IoT CPU's (and the higher end they are) would assume to be
    at high risk unless they are supporting cell phones.

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    Short Term (NEUTRAL) : We are Cadence Innovus users and our high
    performance ARM CPUs are mainly driven through the Cadence-ARM
    handshake.  We expect to a see any turbulence in the near future.

    Long Term (GOOD): We believe ARM will get access to broader IoT
    business horizons with SoftBank.

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    BAD

    In short term, the ARM license and/or royalty may be increased.

    BAD

    In long term, Softbank will create IoT and CPU IP by themselves.
    We semiconductor companies may be out of their development and/or
    supply chain.

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    Short term: no impact.  Neutral.

    Long term: Bad.

    ARM starts competing against us since Softbank holdings has other IoT
    silicon system companies in their portfolio and ARM either transitions
    into making silicon or ARM gives their "internal customers" special
    deals.  ARM is already doing radio silicon today (not announced yet
    AFAIK).

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THE JAPANESE ENGINEERING/BUSINESS STYLE IS DIFFERENT

    Short Term: Neutral.

    Very low risk because the product is currently stable and systems are
    in place for the near future.

    Long Term: Bad.

    Japanese businesses shy away from quick advancement because of fear of
    failure which may lead to "loss of face".  They also have a very top
    down engineering development model.
 
    Cortex and Mali development will slow and any advancements will be in
    small increments.   This will be good news for ARM competitors.  

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM neutral, I don't expect my supply chain (Xilinx, Intel) to
    be impacted by this in the next year

    LONG TERM bad, like all other large Japanese organization SoftBank
    tends to slow innovation, and ARM R&D is all about agile product
    proliferation for very short product cycles.

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    NEUTRAL

    I think we will continue using ARM IPs for our ongoing applications:
    Smartphones, Servers ... because ARM provides the best IP for now.

    GOOD

    SoftBank's CEO is a serious innovator and we can hope it will give
    an additional wind of new applications for ARM like in the humanoid
    robot field.

    I'm hoping that in between Japan will not face a financial tsunami.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: Neutral.

    LONG TERM: Bad.

    In the long run, SoftBank is likely to be intrusive in ARM's choice
    of technology bets or investments and I am not sure I can or want
    to rely on Masayoshi Son to make those calls.

    Also, Masayoshi may be tempted to "pick the winners" amongst the ARM
    licensee base, this disrupting the semi industry...

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM: GOOD

    because whenever merger/acquistion happens, good companies continue the
    same strategies for customer which was existing.  So there should not
    be problems.

    LONG TERM: BAD

    because Japan owned companies/acquisitions are bad performers.  Japan
    semi industry is shrinking.  They are slow movers.  Telecommunication,
    consumer, networking are fast moving technology markets.  ARM created
    the leading edge by remaining in leadership for such CPUs.  Japanese
    companies has no strong experience/history of making/enahancing such
    CPUs.  How they will manage ARM is big question!

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    No impact.  Lets go with a NEUTRAL/NEUTRAL, but it is a BIG deal
    (literally and figuratively), so any changes will have wide impact.

    Both Short Term and Long Term will depend on the changes to the
    license terms for both the hard and soft IP.  It is not clear
    to me how Japan enforces license agreements and how SoftBank/ARM
    will deal with China.

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    Short term I think this is NEUTRAL because our company has their own
    internal DSP cores.

    Long term I think this is GOOD because Japan SoftBank will fuck it
    up, thereby providing less competition to us.

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    BAD and BAD

    Short term will only cause complications to potential licensing.  So
    neutral to bad.

    Long term semi performance in Japan has been abysmal.  Track record
    is lousy.  Adding another country into the legal mix can't be good.

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    BAD on both counts.

    Why is SoftBank buying ARM anyways?

    It makes no sense from a product/customer point of view for SoftBank.
    Is this just some investment they are expecting to sell off in the
    near-term again for a good margin?

    Have they purchased ARM on behalf of the Japanese IC industry so that
    they can license ARM cores to the Japanese IC companies for cheap
    while the rest of the world pays dearly?

    Overall I don't expect anything good from this.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    I'm a Japanese engineer in a Japanese company.

    SHORT TERM (3 years) - NEUTRAL

    ARM's business model is a successful one and I don't think it will be
    meddled up for at least next few years, thereby causing no changes to
    existing ARM based controller development projects.

    LONG TERM - GOOD

    Better deals expected for Japanese MCU design companies.

    Due to its Japanese connection, SB's strong upcoming interest in H/W
    and the ongoing shift of Japanese MCU makers from their proprietary
    cores towards ARM, we can expect better deals for these companies due
    to the take-over by SB, which otherwise may not have happened.

    In addition, the future of healthcare, (semi) autonomous vehicles,
    IoT and several other areas uses substantial automation, AI and
    robotics which were pioneered here in Japan.  Millions of ARM based
    controllers will be used in developing applications in these areas,
    so invariably Japanese MCU makers stand to benefit from this deal.

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PRICES WILL GO UP & INNOVATION WILL GO DOWN

    I think there will be less ARM openness and higher licensing fees.

    SHORT TERM NEUTRAL

    The terms of the acquisition keep all ARM staff in same location,
    so no immediate disruption

    LONG TERM BAD

    Because the strategic goals of SoftBank will be higher revenues, so
    licensing prices will probably go up and/or additional ways of making
    money at customers expense will be introduced (SW costs, training
    costs, services and consulting).

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    Short term NEUTRAL

    Don't believe SoftBank will perturb ARM's positive current direction

    Long term BAD

    They need to make a return on this huge investment so there will be
    pressure to raise royalty levels, which ain't cheap on the V8 cores!

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    SHORT TERM NEUTRAL

    I guess most of the ARM integrators have frame contracts that cover
    the short term developments

    LONG TERM BAD

    When you pay ~32 billion U.S. dollars, you have in mind a way to get
    your money back -- and more.  I don't see the synergy of these two
    companies together getting more money in the door.  But I do see
    SoftBank pressuring ARM to increase fees on its cores or worst.

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    SHORT TERM : NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM : BAD...   Prices will go up.

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    BAD.  The impact will likely to be seen as quick as in a few weeks.

    BAD.  So far ARM has not really leveraged its market dominance to
    gain extra-high profit.  This practice is probably rooted in
    British Empire's self-projected, outdated and silly, cosmopolitan
    view of world affairs.

    Changing this will be a major profit-making opportunity by SoftBank.

    Prices for anything ARM have just now gone up.

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    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    We're just a low end (Cortex M0) customer. Nothing will change here.

    LONG TERM: BAD I think.

    Probably less drive towards innovation and long term success, more
    drive towards short time profit.

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    This will raise price of chips that use ARM cores.

    SHORT TERM:

    Little bad, price raise will be depress sales.

    LONG TERM:

    Neutral, because it will spur growth in ARM competitors.

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    SHORT TERM is NEUTRAL, they promise they won't change IP policy

    LONG TERM is BAD news, change would be possible to occur, meaning
    price increases.

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    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL
 
    LONG TERM: BAD

    In the short term, prices and support should not change.

    In the long term, it will be questionable whether ARM's R&D and
    support will continue; like when Google bought Motorola Moble,
    or when Microsoft bought Nokia.

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    Short term NEUTRAL

    I think it is overall BAD long term.  I expected that ARM license
    prices/royalties will go up since SoftBank will have to show fiscal
    benefits from this $32 B acquisition.

    SoftBank and ARMH started to discuss this before Brexit and the
    devaluation of the British Pound.  SoftBank just got lucky to pay
    less now on a Yen basis.  Otherwise they would have paid even more
    for ARMH.  Still SoftBank need to show some direct benefits to
    off-set all that cash.

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    SHORT TERM neutral

    LONG TERM bad

    Less and less competing companies are bad for competition.  Bigger
    company is less flexible in all aspects.

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ARMH + SOFTBANK == BAD TECHNICAL MATCH

    Neutral

    Bad

    Not fond of a cell phone company in direct control of tech company

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    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    Normally not much damage is done or even possible until acquisition
    plans get put into place; typically 6-9 months out.  After that....

    LONG TERM: BAD

    Adding lots of staff with no long term plans for them is a recipe for
    disaster.  Competing agendas, competing for resources, political
    infighting, etc. are all possible if this is not managed carefully.
    Any significant change to the corporate culture could seriously damage
    ARM morale and productivity.

    Also, key large customers may get nervous about having a potential
    "competitor" in charge of their product architecture and roadmap now.

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    NEUTRAL in the short term.
    Probably BAD long-term.

    They are not going to discontinue any IP cores, at least not this year.
    Going forward, the fact that ARM cores now belong to a Japanese company
    who are not really focused on the chip business will probably cause
    reduced R&D spending.

    This is an opportunity for somebody else to take over the 64-bit
    processor market.

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    Short term: Very Bad

    Disarray of new ownership, unclear priorities, loss of good people
    currently sitting on the fence to move to other companies

    Long term: Very Bad

    Any time a foreign holding company takes over a tech company there
    is great risk of lack of appreciation for the technology aspect of
    running the business and more emphasis on cost savings.

    Not clear also how much of a distraction having to report to outsiders
    will be to ARM's management.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM GOOD

    With the conservative UK-ARMH approach, SB brings risk abilities; an
    added plus.  Existing customers would continue to look up to ARM
    very positively so good in short term

    LONG TERM GOOD

    ARM started stagnating in CPU research/development.  Hopefully, this
    kind of big backing and risk taking, future CPU developments will get
    a needed impetus.

    Every organization has an optimal time and size, and a change will
    trigger good things.

    For example, ARM is nowhere in the machine learning/big data analysis
    ready CPUs.  They have to research in multiple dimensions to be
    relevant.  Nvidia is ahead of ARM in this space.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    I am a Chip Designer.  I am Neutral for both short term and long term.

    I have no idea how a Japanese holding company owning ARM will change
    anything, but am looking forward to hearing the pros and cons from
    your survey results.

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    SHORT TERM : NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM : BAD

    Short term arm needs to keep their customers happy.  Long term I'm
    concerned that SoftBank management may not be technical and savvy
    enough and thus destroy ARM.

    I've seen it too many times.  Big company buys smaller company;
    Mismanages small company; Small company gets destroyed by no future,
    no hope ...

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    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    LONG TERM: BAD

    Acquisitions rarely go well.  SoftBank is entering a market it may not
    understand.  This may be a good opening for RISC-V, MIPS, or even Intel.

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SOFTBANK IS PAYING TOO MUCH

    SHORT TERM: BAD

    LONG TERM: BAD

    ARMH revenue is $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion.

    ARMH net income is $400 million to $500 million.

    Paying $32 billion for $450 million annual net income is 71X.  It
    will take 71 years before this acquisition will pay for itself.
    It's an investment with a 1.4 percent return.  Not impressive.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Short Term Neutral
    Long Term Bad

    To fork out $32 billion for a $1.5 billion assest is bad business.

    Mr. San will have to drive ARM into the ground to see any better
    return than $2.0 billion on ARM.

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    Neutral & Neutral

    At $32 billion, I don't see Apple, nor Samsung, nor Qualcomm, nor
    Google, nor Intel trying to outbid SoftBank on this.

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    I could maybe see $10 to $15 billion for ARM.  Not $32 billion.

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    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    We design memory ICs.  I don't see a direct short term impact on my
    business.

    It is probably a good thing for ARM's competitors exploiting FUD for
    some period of time.

    I'd have to believe the Intel Mobile people are likely looking at
    how to leverage this to their advantage.

    LONG TERM: GOOD

    To me it seems that ARM's major licensees selling merchant processors
    were in a bit of a tight spot: on the hook to pay big $$$ to ARM but
    seeing so much commoditization and competition as to be unattractive
    from a business perspective.  It's difficult to get the chip designs
    right, so quite a bit of risk when making ICs and perhaps only a low
    margin expectation.  May not be so attractive.

    I have to believe that Softbank will strongly emphasize bizdev in China
    and there's purportedly a lot of fab capacity being built over there.
    Might be a huge surge in the proliferation of ARM architecture with
    no one making much money doing it.  Asian companies have different
    margin expectations vs Western companies.

    SoftBank/ARM likely creates memory sockets for me as this grows; and
    mostly on the low end, IoT, etc.

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    Hard to say.  Softbank is in deep debt.  It may have good or bad
    reflections on ARM itself.  ARM itself was strong; new management
    is not always better results.
 
    For my company, I say short term - GOOD ; long term GOOD

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    I believe both short term and long term are NEUTRAL.

    I think for SoftBank this is just a financial investment because
    SoftBank has nothing in the chip and IP business.

    I also guess SoftBank will leave ARM alone and let ARM operate
    independently.

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ALTERNATIVES LIKE RISC-V ARE COMING!

    SHORT TERM: NEUTRAL

    There is tremendous momentum in ARM's ecosystem.  In my company, we
    don't even consider non-ARM architectures, with the exception of DSPs.
    
    We generally use open source tools for firmware development and
    debugging plus a few commercial tools from long established players,
    such as Lauterbach.  None of this will change quickly.

    LONG TERM: BAD

    I think it is bad for ARM's ecosystem in the long-term and it will put
    some air into RISC-V's sails.  With ARM based in the UK, ARM needs
    their customers and partners just as much as ARM needs them.  The ARM
    ecosystem that has evolved has mutual benefits and interdependencies.

    ARM under SoftBank will be under pressure to pay off that $32 billion
    Japanese mortgage.  ARM will be cutting costs everywhere.  The ARM
    eco-system will decay as time passes.

    RISC-V got some interest, but nobody took it seriously because of the
    ARM eco-system.  Will the ARM customers and partners in that ecosystem
    want to hedge their bets with an open ISA now that ARMH will have to
    serve its new master's interest in some unknown way?  I think the
    history of the computer industry says yes.

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    I believe in the short term there will be NEUTRAL impact.

    In the long term this will be BAD impact.

    The reason being in the long term ARM will be held by a Japanese
    telecom.  Most large system houses and open source vendors may
    not feel its safe enough to build their products around ARM
    architecture. 

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Short: No impact

    Long: Good

    This opens the door for open source ISA like RISC-V to become viable.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    NEUTRAL

    BAD

    My management just went into internal meeting to discuss the future
    possiblities of RISC-V, ImagTec MIPS, ARC, Atom, and even OpenPower.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Short Term: NEUTRAL.

    Little to zilch.  Generally nothing much happens for 4-6 months on a
    huge acquisition/merger because they have to go through the CF phase
    (cluster fuck).  Many people will be running around like chickens with
    their heads chopped off.  Then there will be some quiet layoffs and
    "filtration".  Look what's happening to NXP/Freescale now.

    Thus, nothing will happen to IPs, design models, licensing, royalties,
    etc. for the short term.

    Long Term: BAD.

    I'm not sure Mr. Son's decisions are all that great.  A few years ago
    Softbank acquires Sprint, who can go arm-in-arm with AT&T as the
    suckiest telecom company.  SoftBank lost lots of money on Sprint and
    still carry big debt on that acquisition.

    Now, anyone touching, using, or buying ARM can't be wrong, right?  Many
    years ago anyone buying IBM could't be wrong.  What's IBM doing lately?

    I think Softbank will either screw up the partnership model or limit
    ARM to Softbank's way of doing business -- which will turn people away.
    I predict that Designware ARC, some startup, or RICS-V will then bypass
    or replace the ARM architecture.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    SHORT TERM this is NEUTRAL news.  ARM has existing license agreements
    and revenue streams that COULD allow them to remain an independent
    operation.

    That said, LONG TERM this is BAD news.  SoftBank is in the top 100
    largest companies in the world.  And while there might be some synergy
    between this acquisition and the fact that SoftBank has telecom
    subsidiaries (such as SPRINT), ARM is already the preferred CPU for
    wireless devices so driving deeper in this area will not yield
    substantial growth or profits.

    Time will tell if this acquisition follows the norm of:

      (1) "big" company swallows "small" company profitable company
      (2) over time "big" company extracts all "small" company profits
      (3) eventually "big" company dismantles "small" company claiming
          that "small" company is not profitable enough to be maintained
          as a standalone subsidiary

    IMHO, if this acquisition is approved (and Apple, Samsung, or Google
    don't start a bidding war over ARM), the only one who potentially could
    win would be Intel assuming Intel focus its R&D on low power, battery
    powered chips for wireless devices instead of bringing to market yet
    another x86 processor no one wants or needs.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    We're not buying from ARM now.  Will have to think it through if we
    choose to switch from MIPS to ARM in the future.

    SHORT TERM: Neutral, nothing is likely to change in the short term.

    LONG TERM: Neutral, possibly bad.

    Probably neutral, doesn't sound likely that SoftBank will buy ARM to
    gut it, and it will probably have to keep ARM's bigger customers
    happy enough to avoid switching to a different ISA, which many could
    do if provoked.

    A potential bad outcome is that those companies actually buying ARM's
    CPU designs rather than architecture licenses will have less options
    available, if SoftBank chooses to prioritize a few key areas over
    others.  Perhaps it's more likely with SoftBank than an independent
    ARM who always "wanted every socket".

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    We use an ARM CPU architecure in our every product, and I think ARM
    will continue current roadmap and price, so there won't be any change
    in the short time.

    But in the long term it will be bad because of security.  And I am
    afraid SoftBank will raise its price of every ARM product to reduce
    its debt.  We would then try substution of RISC-V or DW ARC. 

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Neutral in short term.
    There will be no direct impact in the short term.

    Good in long term.
    It will push the company to invest more in the CPU and IP development.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
THE ARM CULTURE WILL DIE OFF

    SHORT TERM: Neutral.

    LONG TERM: Bad.

    We purchase an ARM IP, not only because it has a high quality, but
    because of the complete package they provide.  Including, compiler,
    debugger, support ... etc.  This might drop off to save costs.

    If too many changes in the ARM management and layoffs occur, then
    many of their customers would run away and even new startups would
    pull in to find their way developing replacement IPs.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Short Term: BAD because I am not sure how the management will change
    and if ARM will be same kind of commpany as it is now.

    Long Term: BAD because it might change the core of how ARM is managed.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    NEUTRAL

    NEUTRAL

    Unless the acquisition causes key talent to leave, the ARM line
    should continue as it is.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----
IT'S NOT OUR PROBLEM

    Both SHORT TERM and LONG TERM = NEUTRAL news.

    Our company has not any business contacts with ARM.  And we are not
    planning to have in future.  We use CPU/GPU IPs from other vendors.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    NEUTRAL.  My company's chip designs use SPARC cores, not ARM.

    NEUTRAL.  My company has no plans to ever use ARM cores.


        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Don't care.  We use DW ARC cores.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    Good and Good.

    Very simple.  Look at what SoftBank so far has done with its other
    acquisitions: They left them alone.

    ARM will continue to do as good or bad as it would have alone.  It
    now just has more money backing it.

    I do NOT like ARM nor the processor architecture behind it, but it's
    good short term and long term.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    I work at a silicon fab.  I don't need to worry about who owns the
    company that draws the polygons just as long a they continue to
    draw them, at least some of the time, for the customers that want
    those polygons printed in our production lines.

    So, short term, great news for all my close friends who are reaping
    some monetary benefit this morning, but long term, this is Neutral.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

    We are currently using an ARM core via TI's CC3200, but don't expect
    any impact.

    Short term this is good news as the semi industry is experiencing
    another downturn and this consolidation is good.  It should create
    a stable future for ARM.

    Long Term remains to be seen.  Neutral.  Don't expect significant
    changes in access or cost, but will see.  As one of the original
    6502 engineers (the ARM core is based on the 6502 processor) at
    Rockwell for Atari and having worked with three of the engineers
    who left Motorola for MOS Technology, this is relatively innocuous.

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

Related Articles:

    68% of chip designers see SoftBank/ARM buyout as a long term BAD
    64% of EDA/IP vendors see SoftBank/ARM buyout as a long term GOOD
    Simon Segars' private memo to the ARM APM partners about SoftBank
    ARM/SNPS/MENT rock IP survey while CDNS has embarrassing 2nd year

        ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

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